Agnostic Bus Campaign?

There is still an annoying confusion doing the rounds that any statement less strong than “I am absolutely certain there is no God” is not atheism but agnosticism. We can see it today in the faux surprise (expressed by religious sites like Ekklesia) at the wording of the Atheist Bus Campaign:

The slogan on the buses will read: “There’s probably no God. Now stop worrying and enjoy your life.”

This appears to be a tactful retreat from Professor Dawkins’ previous claims that God “almost certainly” does not exist – but commentators are already pointing out that it is closer to agnosticism (uncertainty about whether God can be known as a reality or not) rather than atheism (outright denial).

This is a wedge that the religious like to drive between two positions that, typically, have more in common than they want people to think. After all, if you think atheists believe they can be absolutely certain there is no God, then there are almost no atheists in the world, and Richard Dawkins would, on that definition, be an agnostic. Here, for instance, is what Dawkins wrote on HuffPo two years ago:

Accepting, then, that the God Hypothesis is a proper scientific hypothesis whose truth or falsehood is hidden from us only by lack of evidence, what should be our best estimate of the probability that God exists, given the evidence now available? Pretty low I think, and here’s why. […]

That sounds, to me, entirely compatible with what the Atheist Bus Campaign is proposing to put on buses. The difference is one of degrees, between “probably” and “almost certainly”, both phrases which acknowledge uncertainty. I would argue that the Atheist Bus Campaign chose the wording it did mostly because it was trying to be pithy, not because they wanted to water down the atheist position. They are, after all, calling themselves the Atheist Bus Campaign.

Similarly, Bill Maher recently went on the Daily Show to promote his new film Religulous, which is, to all intents and purposes, advancing atheist arguments. Nonetheless, Maher claims for himself not atheism, but agnosticism. Now, an agnostic is “someone who does not know, or believes that it is impossible to know, whether a god exists“. If that is the case, then why argue, as Maher (correctly) does, that the beliefs of religious people are preposterous? If you’re agnostic, you are allowing that there is a reasonable case to be made both for and against the existence of a particular God, or at least that there is no robust case to be made against their existence. So why try?

I think the problem here comes from the wide range of definitions claimed for atheism in common parlance. Atheism can be “either the affirmation of the nonexistence of gods, or the rejection of theism. It is also defined more broadly as an absence of belief in deities, or nontheism.” Thing is, most atheists aren’t “affirming the nonexistence of gods”, they are “rejecting theism”. Religious apologists want you to believe that I believe there is definitely no God. I don’t. I just think the claims of religions are bonkers, and as such the burden of proof is on them, not me. But don’t call me agnostic. The only uncertainty I have is the technical kind of uncertainty that I also hold about the Flying Spaghetti Monster and Russell’s Teapot, both equally bonkers propositions.


3 Responses to “Agnostic Bus Campaign?”

  1. Jennie Says:


  2. lizw Says:

    I also agree with this. The position the ads express seems to me to be consistent with the position that is philosophically referred to as “weak atheism” or “negative atheism”, and also with the (distinct, but not incompatible) position known as “agnostic atheism”.

  3. Marc G. Smith Says:


    I think the confusion comes because agnostics like myself see a redefinition of atheism occurring by the power brokers driving their atheistic and humanist agenda. I also find the propaganda quite contrary to the “scientific” background that it claims to operate under.

    Just this morning I came across this article – < HREF="" REL="nofollow">The 50 Most Brilliant Atheists of All Time<>.

    As an example take entry 33 regarding Stephen Gould who they claim is an atheist. This is what Stephen Gould actually has to say on the subject:

    <>“If you absolutely forced me to bet on the existence of a conventional anthropomorphic deity, of course I’d bet no. But, basically, Huxley was right when he said that agnosticism is the only honorable position because we really cannot know. And that’s right. I’d be real surprised if there turned out to be a conventional God.”<>A position I agree with. Carl Sagan had the following to say:

    <>“I have some discomfort with both believers and with non-believers when their opinions are not based on facts … If we don’t know the answer, why are we under so much pressure to make up our minds, to declare our allegiance to one hypothesis or the other?”<>Sagan also said this in a 1996 interview with Joel Achenbach:

    <>“An atheist has to know more than I know. An atheist is someone who knows there is no God.”<>In short some of us agnostics feel that today’s brand of atheism, despite claims, is driven by a popular herd mentality and it’s definition and arguments are being warped to suit their needs.

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